0811.3
22:24:43

Fuzzy Charts: Monday

Jump to Comments On the eve of the election, the American Politics unit at Conrad Magazine in partnership with iaatb.net is releasing its final election analysis. For those that don’t already know, here is the methodology:

1. Go to the four selected poll aggregation websites (realclearpolitics, electionprojection, electoral-vote, pollster.com)
2. Put all electoral votes in “Toss Up”, “Weak Obama”, or “Weak Democrat” (as applicable) in McCain tally (these are colored pink in the below maps)
3. ???
4. Profit!

Election Projection: 278-260

Election Projection: 278-260

Real Clear Politics: 278-260

Real Clear Politics: 278-260

Pollster: 311-227

Pollster: 311-227

Electoral-vote: 311-227

Electoral-vote: 311-227

And, as a wrap up, here’s a chart of all of the CM/IAATB rejiggered predictions:
______________________________________________________
|site               |15OCT|22OCT|01NOV|03NOV|who jack|
|___________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|__who?__|
|realclearpolitics  | 286√| 286√| 325√| 278√| obama  |
|___________________|_252_|_252_|_213_|_260_|_mccain_|
|electionprojection | 307√| 286√| 311√| 278 | obama  |
|___________________|_231_|_252_|_227_|_260_|_mccain_|
|electoral-vote     | 313√| 286√| 311√| 311√| obama  |
|___________________|_225_|_252_|_227_|_227_|_mccain_|
|pollster           | 320√| 286√| 306√| 311√| obama  |
|___________________|_218_|_252_|_232_|_227_|_mccain_|
Remember, we’re giving extra electoral votes to McCain above and beyond what aggregated, averaged multi-sourced per-state polling samples have suggested would be the outcome for the past half-month or so. Conrad Magazine and iaatb.net therefore leave it to the thinking people of the world to finish the time-honored sentence:

This game’s winner is…

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