0810.22
10:31:46
less-fuzzy math
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I was going to do an update of last week’s post about my own electoral counts conspicuously re-biased towards McCain, but there’s not much of a story here. All four of those sites tallies, when adjusted to give all weak or toss-up votes to McCain, translate to 286 Obama, 252 McCain.
I don’t really care to look into this much, but it probably means that as we come closer to the election, these different sites are relying more and more on the exact same sets of polling data.
I don’t really care to look into this much, but it probably means that as we come closer to the election, these different sites are relying more and more on the exact same sets of polling data.
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GMT-0500 21:23:48 0811.3 (Mon)
[…] All of the states (”weak dem” or equivalent) that I have rebiased towards McCain are in pink. Notable here, I think, are that neither Ohio nor Pennsylvania are given as close enough in order for my methodology to convert them to McCain votes. I’ll post a new one on Monday to see if this changes. Also, the rejiggered models have moved away from the 286-252 that they were when I wrote about them a few days ago. […]