0811.3
22:24:43
Fuzzy Charts: Monday
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On the eve of the election, the American Politics unit at Conrad Magazine in partnership with iaatb.net is releasing its final election analysis. For those that don’t already know, here is the methodology:
1. Go to the four selected poll aggregation websites (realclearpolitics, electionprojection, electoral-vote, pollster.com)
2. Put all electoral votes in “Toss Up”, “Weak Obama”, or “Weak Democrat” (as applicable) in McCain tally (these are colored pink in the below maps)
3. ???
4. Profit!
This game’s winner is…
1. Go to the four selected poll aggregation websites (realclearpolitics, electionprojection, electoral-vote, pollster.com)
2. Put all electoral votes in “Toss Up”, “Weak Obama”, or “Weak Democrat” (as applicable) in McCain tally (these are colored pink in the below maps)
3. ???
4. Profit!
And, as a wrap up, here’s a chart of all of the CM/IAATB rejiggered predictions:
______________________________________________________ |site |15OCT|22OCT|01NOV|03NOV|who jack| |___________________|_____|_____|_____|_____|__who?__| |realclearpolitics | 286√| 286√| 325√| 278√| obama | |___________________|_252_|_252_|_213_|_260_|_mccain_| |electionprojection | 307√| 286√| 311√| 278 | obama | |___________________|_231_|_252_|_227_|_260_|_mccain_| |electoral-vote | 313√| 286√| 311√| 311√| obama | |___________________|_225_|_252_|_227_|_227_|_mccain_| |pollster | 320√| 286√| 306√| 311√| obama | |___________________|_218_|_252_|_232_|_227_|_mccain_|Remember, we’re giving extra electoral votes to McCain above and beyond what aggregated, averaged multi-sourced per-state polling samples have suggested would be the outcome for the past half-month or so. Conrad Magazine and iaatb.net therefore leave it to the thinking people of the world to finish the time-honored sentence:
This game’s winner is…
2 Comments
GMT-0500 01:16:26 0811.4 (Tue)
This is too factual for me. I long for something full of value-judgments, preferably shrill and full of exaggeration and half-truths. You can do better!
GMT-0500 21:10:52 0811.4 (Tue)
Hooray facts!